ElViento: Okay, after Sunday’s action, let’s take a look at the standings:
Rice and Southern Miss are in. That leaves seven teams battling for four spots. After that, it goes like this:
Memphis: 11-10 (Surprise team of the conference this year ends the season against Southern Miss.)
Marshall: 12-12 (The Thundering Herd have finished their conference slate.)
ECU: 10-11 (The disappointing Pirates will host Houston this weekend.)
UAB: 10-11 (The Blazers will finish the year at Rice.)
Houston: 9-12 (The Coogs will travel to ECU.)
Tulane: 9-12 (The Green Wave host UCF next weekend.)
UCF: 8-13 (The Knights will be at Tulane.)
So, if…
…Houston sweeps ECU, we are a lock, by my estimation. We’d be ahead of ECU and UCF, and we could conceivably end up tied with Marshall and/or Tulane with everybody else ahead of us, but we’d have the tiebreaker over Marshall. So we’re in.
…Houston wins two of three, they are probably in. We’d have to find three teams to be ahead of. We would be ahead of UCF and ECU by tiebreaker and/or outright, so here are the other candidates. We would need at least one of the following to happen:
- Tulane to lose at least two to UCF.
- UAB to lose at least two to Rice.
- Memphis to get swept by Southern Miss.
…Houston wins one of three, they are out, unless all of the following happen:
- UAB gets swept by Rice
- UCF wins exactly two of three against Tulane.
- Given a four-way tie for sixth place, Conference offices shrug their shoulders and award the final tournament spot to the Cougars, since they’re hosting the darn thing anyway.
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Are ya depressed yet at the thought of the Coogs failiing to qualify for the tournament they host? Have no fear! I have fantastic videos which will psych you up for football season!
I still get all worked up by that kick.
DAMN IT FEELS GOOD TO BE A COUGAR!
I nearly cried watching it in piss-poor quality on my phone last night.
-ElViento